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Fitch: The possible trade policy changes after the results of the 2024 election in the United States will bring risks in 2025 and may reduce the demand for shipping companies.Bitcoin exceeded $102,000/piece, up 0.87% in the day.Spot gold fell below $2,680 per ounce, down 1.38% in the day. COMEX gold futures fell 2.00% in the day and are now reported at $2701.50 per ounce.

Leader of the Houthi Movement: We cooperated with Islamic resistance organizations and conducted joint actions against Israel. The Support Front took action this week against occupied Jaffa, Ashdod and Ashkelon.Sources: A few ECB policymakers initially hoped to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Three sources said that several ECB policymakers initially hoped to cut interest rates more sharply on Thursday, and they were worried that the new US tariffs would hinder economic growth. The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, and opened the door for more easing policies, as the euro zone economy was dragged down by domestic political instability and the threat of a new round of trade war in the United States. However, due to the low forecast of inflation and economic growth, about five of the 26 members of the official Committee initially advocated a 50 basis point interest rate cut. In particular, they pointed out that if the incoming Trump administration imposes new tariffs on the EU, the growth of economic output next year may be lower than the 1.1% expected by the European Central Bank. A small number of policy makers who called for greater interest rate cuts quickly gave in, adding that given the current uncertainty, people are reluctant to make a hasty decision.At least 9 people were killed and 6 people were missing when a refugee ship sank in the waters off Tunisia. On the 12th local time, a refugee ship sank in the waters off Tunisia. Subsequently, the Tunisia Coast Guard found nine bodies and six others were missing. According to the description of the survivors, the ship was carrying at least 42 people, all from sub-Saharan African countries, when the ship broke down and entered the water due to bad weather. After the incident, the coast guard has rescued at least 27 people on board, and the search and rescue operation for missing persons is still going on.

CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.A quick look at the authority of Xinhua News Agency | The Central Economic Work Conference in 2024 will set the tone for economic work next year.Ambassador of China to the United States: "Going to China" is the real risk of global supply chain. Xie Feng, China's ambassador to the United States, said on the 11th that "going to China" is the real risk of global supply chain. Speaking at the annual dinner of u.s.-china business council held in Washington that night, Xie Feng said that in the face of protectionism, China's determination to comprehensively deepen reform and expand high-level opening-up has always been the same, its goal of promoting stable and far-reaching Sino-US relations has always been the same, and its desire to welcome enterprises from all countries, including American enterprises, to share development opportunities has always been the same. Xie Feng said that since the Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, a series of heavy reform measures have come into effect, and access to the manufacturing sector has been fully liberalized. For the first time, negative list management has been established for cross-border service trade nationwide, and wholly foreign-owned hospitals have been allowed to be set up in nine places including Beijing. Eleven foreign-controlled or wholly foreign-owned brokers, including JPMorgan Chase, have successively settled in China, and telecommunications, internet, education, culture and medical care have been opened in an orderly manner, releasing huge market dividends. Xie Feng said that the weaponization of tariffs closes the market and loses opportunities. The "small courtyard and high wall" can't stop the spring breeze of innovation, but will draw the land as a prison. "Going to China" under the guise of "removing risks" is the real risk of the global supply chain, and treating "national security" as a "panacea" to discredit and suppress is itself creating insecurity. Only when Sino-US cooperation is done well will the two countries and the world be more prosperous and safer. U.s.-china business council, founded in 1973, is a non-governmental trade organization with China established by the United States before the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States. It has long been committed to promoting the development of Sino-US relations and economic and trade cooperation. At present, the Committee has 270 American member enterprises doing business in China.